China vs. Ukraine: FT Investigation Exposes Beijingโ€™s Dual-Track Drone Strategy That Leaves Kyiv Behind

Chinese component suppliers are scheduling factory visits to ensure Ukrainian and Russian drone buyers never meet in the same building. That detail alone tells you everything about Beijingโ€™s actual position in this war.

A major Financial Times investigation published January 21, 2026 reveals the mechanics of how China has become the hidden fulcrum of the drone war in Ukraine. Both Russia and Ukraine depend on Chinese processors, cameras, motors, and flight controllers. But the evidence suggests Beijingโ€™s thumb is firmly on Russiaโ€™s side of the scale.

The investigation lands at a moment when DroneXL has been tracking the China-Russia drone supply chain for years, documenting a pattern thatโ€™s impossible to dismiss as neutral commerce.

Ukrainian drone makers describe a two-faced supplier relationship

Oleksandr Yakovenko, founder of TAF Industries and one of Ukraineโ€™s largest military drone producers, describes visits to Chinese component suppliers where hosts meticulously manage timing to prevent Ukrainian and Russian customers from crossing paths.

โ€œOur suppliers make an effort to manage Ukrainian and Russian customers,โ€ Yakovenko told the FT. โ€œThey try to make it so we will not be in the same factory at the same time.โ€

The logistics are precise. Separate doors. Service corridors. Empty conference rooms.

โ€œThey invite us for one time, but they invite the Russians for a different time,โ€ Yakovenko added. โ€œSo as soon as the car with the Russians drives away, the car with Ukrainians goes in.โ€

Yakovenko says Ukraine remains dependent on China for about 85% of the components that go into first-person view drones. These are the small, fast, cheap quadcopters piloted by remote operators that have become the warโ€™s defining weapon. By some estimates, drones now account for three-quarters of casualties on both sides.

Technology advances reach both sides simultaneously, but not equally

Oleksiy Babenko of Vyriy Drone, another major Ukrainian supplier, describes how new Chinese technology appears on Russian drones almost immediately after Ukrainian forces spot it.

โ€œWe might see a new video transmitter on Russian drones, and we will understand immediately what company in China produced it,โ€ Babenko told the FT. โ€œSo we write to them. Of course, they say, โ€˜No, itโ€™s not ours.โ€™ But we ask again and they say, โ€˜OK, we can sell it to you too.'โ€

The reverse happens too. When Ukraine asks Chinese manufacturers to produce something specific, samples appear in Russia within a week. Then full production begins for Russian buyers.

Babenkoโ€™s frustration is tangible. On the front lines, TAF engineers improvise amid parts shortages. Across the trenches, Russian forces appear well supplied with Chinese technology. This echoes what DroneXL has reported about TAFโ€™s CEO warning that without technological leaps, Ukraine will struggle to maintain its defense within two years.

The numbers confirm Chinaโ€™s global dominance in drone components

China already manufactures 70-80% of the worldโ€™s commercial drones, according to analytics provider Drone Industry Insights. The country dominates production of speed controllers, sensors, cameras, propellers, and the other critical elements that determine how far a drone can fly and how clearly it can see.

Chinese components cost roughly one-third of Western equivalents. This economic reality has locked both sides of the Ukraine war into dependence on suppliers operating under Beijingโ€™s jurisdiction. Chinaโ€™s restrictions on component exports to Western nations, which we reported in December 2024, demonstrated how Beijing can weaponize this dominance whenever it chooses.

Catarina Buchatskiy of the Snake Island Institute, a Kyiv-based military think-tank, puts it bluntly:

โ€œIt just puts into perspective how much control the Chinese actually have over the outcome of this war.โ€ She added: โ€œThey could just choose to supply or not to supply the Ukrainians. I mean, the drone is such a definitive battlefield weapon now.โ€

Russiaโ€™s production line strategy bypasses component restrictions

While export controls target individual components, Russia has found a workaround. According to multiple sources in the FT investigation, Russian companies are buying entire production lines from China and relocating them to Russia.

Babenko received a phone call from a Chinese factory offering motors that had previously been unavailable. The reason?

โ€œThe Russians had opted to buy an entire production line instead of components. They no longer needed the motors that had been allocated to them.โ€

This shifts the equation entirely. Component-level sanctions become meaningless when manufacturing capability itself moves to Russian territory. Western intelligence sources and Ukrainian policymakers cited by the FT say Chinaโ€™s government enables these transfers despite its stated neutrality and export control commitments.

D3, a Ukrainian venture capital firm investing in defense companies, confirms both nations can easily evade export restrictions by creating intermediary entities in Germany, Poland, or Central Asian countries.

โ€œThere are all these loopholes,โ€ said managing partner Eveline Buchatskiy. โ€œExport controls just created a little bit of friction in the supply chain, but it certainly has not interrupted it at all.โ€

Geran and Garpiya drone production has exploded

The scale of Russiaโ€™s drone buildup is staggering. Output of Geran and Garpiya drones, based on Iranian Shahed designs, has increased from dozens per month in 2022 to more than 5,000 per month by November 2025.

The Garpiya-A1 uses Chinese L550E engines originally designed by Germanyโ€™s Limbach but now manufactured by Xiamen Limbach Aircraft Engine Co in China. DroneXL first covered the Garpiyaโ€™s Chinese engine supply chain in September 2024, documenting how Kupol, a subsidiary of Russian state weapons maker Almaz-Antey, produced over 2,500 units in a single year.

China Vs. Ukraine: Ft Investigation Exposes Beijing'S Dual-Track Drone Strategy That Leaves Kyiv Behind 1

The US Treasury Department sanctioned Xiamen Limbach and Redlepus Vector Industry Shenzhen Co in October 2024 for selling Russia parts to produce the Garpiya drone. Our coverage of those sanctions detailed how these companies formed a critical supply line that kept Russian drone production humming.

But sanctions havenโ€™t stopped the flow. Our July 2025 investigation revealed how new front companies like Beijing Xichao International Technology and Trade stepped in after sanctions hit, shipping engines labeled as โ€œindustrial refrigeration unitsโ€ to evade Chinese customs.

Chinese parts dominate downed Russian drones

Ukrainian armed forces last year published photos of a two-stroke engine with an intact serial number recovered from an intercepted Gerbera drone. The manufacturer was identified as Yunnan-based Mile Haoxiang Technology, according to Frontelligence Insight. Experts caution that finding Chinese parts doesnโ€™t prove intent to supply Russia. But the pattern is consistent.

Analysis by the Centre for Defence Reforms, a Kyiv think-tank, showed that Chinese parts narrowly edged out US parts in downed Russian drones in 2025, with Swiss components coming in third. Mile Haoxiang did not respond to FT requests for comment.

Oleksandr Danylyuk of the Centre for Defence Reforms described how the supply chain works:

โ€œChinese equipment, materials and components enable the Russians to deploy so-called local engine production while in reality remaining tied to the Chinese technological and raw-material supply chain.โ€

Western officials: Chinese state directly assists Russian sanctions evasion

The FT investigation cites Western officials who claim the Chinese state appears to be directly helping Chinese sellers and Russian buyers evade both Western sanctions and Chinaโ€™s own export controls.

โ€œWe understand that a Chinese state-linked company was assisting a Russian defence company with circumventing Chinese government export controls, by using a central Asian country as a proxy end-user,โ€ the officials said.

They did not identify the state-linked company or the central Asian country.

US Treasury sanctions from January 2025 identified Kyrgyzstan-based Keremet Bank as the operator of a regional financial clearing platform that facilitated these transactions. Keremet did not respond to FT requests for comment.

The officials added that after US Treasury exposed the Russian counterparty in August 2025,

โ€œRussia and China kept the mechanism operational and set up new front companies in an attempt to evade further sanctions.โ€

The Wang Dinghua connection: direct Chinese investment in Russian drone manufacturing

Perhaps the most damning evidence emerged in November 2025. The FT reported that Wang Dinghua, a Shenzhen-based businessman, owns a 5% stake in Rustakt, a manufacturer of the VT-40 drone widely used by Russian forces to attack Ukrainian positions.

Rustakt is no ordinary company. The Centre for Defence Reforms identified it as Russiaโ€™s largest importer of FPV drone components between July 2023 and February 2025. The company is sanctioned by both Ukraine and the EU for its role in Russiaโ€™s drone program.

Russia scrubbed the ownership records within 24 hours of the FTโ€™s inquiries. As we noted in our coverage, parts sales can be explained away as โ€œdual-useโ€ commerce. Ownership stakes cannot. Wang has a direct financial interest in the success of Russian FPV drone production.

Zelenskyy: Chinese Mavic drones blocked for Ukraine, open for Russia

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly alleged that Chinaโ€™s government helps Russia import drone technology by selectively enforcing export controls. Last May, he stated:

โ€œWe once relied on Chinese Mavic dronesโ€ฆ [Sales of] these are now blocked for Ukraine but remain open to Russia. Our forces now self-produce drones.โ€

DroneXL covered Zelenskyyโ€™s accusation when Bloomberg first reported it. The DJI Mavic series, particularly the Mavic 3 Pro and Mavic 4 Pro, became essential battlefield tools for reconnaissance and modified kamikaze attacks. Chinaโ€™s decision to restrict these sales to Ukraine while allegedly maintaining supply channels to Russia represents a strategic choice, not a neutral market outcome.

Ukraine has responded by scaling domestic manufacturing. Babenko says the country has made โ€œgreat progressโ€ in localizing production, but remains dependent on China for key components and vulnerable to export restrictions and political pressure.

Former MI6 chief: Beijingโ€™s support has been critical in prolonging the war

Sir Richard Moore, the former head of Britainโ€™s MI6, said before stepping down in September that there was no doubt Beijingโ€™s backing had been critical in prolonging the Ukraine war.

โ€œIt is the support that China has consistently given to Russia, both diplomatically and also in terms of dual-use goods,โ€ Moore said. He cited Chinese chemicals ending up in Russian shells and electronic components in Russian missiles as evidence of systematic support that โ€œhave prevented Putin from reaching the conclusion that peace is his best option.โ€

Chinaโ€™s Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to the FTโ€™s questions by saying it had no relevant information on drone exports to Russia. The ministry added that China remained strictly neutral on the Ukraine conflict and โ€œhas always opposed unilateral sanctions that have no basis in international law and are not authorised by the UN Security Council.โ€

DroneXLโ€™s Take

This FT investigation validates what weโ€™ve been documenting for three years. The 85% dependency figure from TAF Industries matches the structural reality weโ€™ve tracked across dozens of stories about Chinaโ€™s drone component dominance.

The scheduling of factory visits to separate Ukrainian and Russian buyers isnโ€™t just anecdotal color. Itโ€™s evidence of a coordinated system. Chinese suppliers know exactly who theyโ€™re selling to and theyโ€™re managing the optics while maintaining the flow to both sides, with Russia clearly getting preferential treatment when production capacity or new technology is constrained.

What concerns me most is the production line strategy. When Russia buys entire manufacturing facilities rather than components, it moves beyond the reach of traditional export controls. The sanctions regime was designed for a world where you track individual items. It wasnโ€™t built for a competitor willing to relocate entire factories to evade restrictions.

The Wang Dinghua ownership stake in Rustakt was the clearest evidence yet of direct Chinese investment in Russian military drone production. Now we have Western intelligence officials on record saying a Chinese state-linked company actively assisted sanctions evasion using a Central Asian proxy. Beijingโ€™s neutrality claims have become fiction.

Expect this story to accelerate. As Ukraineโ€™s domestic production scales and Western nations attempt to build alternative supply chains, Chinaโ€™s leverage over battlefield outcomes will become an increasingly central issue in any ceasefire or peace negotiations. Control of drone components has become as strategically important as artillery shells or aircraft carriers.

Editorial Note: This article was researched and drafted with the assistance of AI to ensure technical accuracy and archive retrieval. All insights, industry analysis, and perspectives were provided exclusively by Haye Kesteloo and our other DroneXL authors, editors, and YouTube partners to ensure the โ€œHuman-Firstโ€ perspective our readers expect.


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Haye Kesteloo
Haye Kesteloo

Haye Kesteloo is a leading drone industry expert and Editor in Chief of DroneXL.co and EVXL.co, where he covers drone technology, industry developments, and electric mobility trends. With over nine years of specialized coverage in unmanned aerial systems, his insights have been featured in The New York Times, The Financial Times, and cited by The Brookings Institute, Foreign Policy, Politico and others.

Before founding DroneXL.co, Kesteloo built his expertise at DroneDJ. He currently co-hosts the PiXL Drone Show on YouTube and podcast platforms, sharing industry insights with a global audience. His reporting has influenced policy discussions and been referenced in federal documents, establishing him as an authoritative voice in drone technology and regulation. He can be reached at haye @ dronexl.co or @hayekesteloo.

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